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Energies, Vol. 10, Pages 1523: Research on Risk Evaluation of Transnational Power Networking Projects Based on the Matter-Element Extension Theory and Granular Computing

Energies, Vol. 10, Pages 1523: Research on Risk Evaluation of Transnational Power Networking Projects Based on the Matter-Element Extension Theory and Granular Computing

Energies doi: 10.3390/en10101523

Authors: Jinying Li Fan Wu Jinchao Li Yunqi Zhao

In project management, risk assessment is crucial for stakeholders to identify the risk factors during the whole life cycle of the project. A risk evaluation index system of a transnational networking project, which provides an effective way for the grid integration of clean electricity and the sustainable development of the power industry, is constructed in this paper. Meanwhile, a combination of granular computing and order relation analysis (G1 method) is applied to determine the weight of each indicator and the matter-element extension evaluation model is also employed to seek the global optimal decision during the risk assessment. Finally, a case study is given to validate the index system and evaluation model established in this paper by assessing two different investment schemes of a transnational high voltage direct current (HVDC) transmission project. The result shows that the comprehensive risk level of Scheme 1 is “Low” and the level of Scheme 2 is “General”, which means Scheme 1 is better for the stakeholders from the angle of risk control. The main practical significance of this paper lies in that it can provide a reference and decision support for the government’s power sectors, investment companies and other stakeholders when carrying out related activities.

Authors:   Li, Jinying ; Wu, Fan ; Li, Jinchao ; Zhao, Yunqi
Journal:   Energies
Volume:   10
edition:   10
Year:   2017
Pages:   1523
DOI:   10.3390/en10101523
Publication date:   05-Oct-2017
Facts, background information, dossiers
  • paper
  • matter
  • risk factors
  • risk assessment
  • Research
  • Reference
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