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Caldeira and Myhrvold (1) argue that the temperature change metric proposed in their recent paper (2) would be more useful to policymakers than the cumulative radiative forcing metric used by Alvarez et al. (3). We believe both metrics are useful, although the simplicity, transparency, and relatively low uncertainty of the cumulative radiative forcing metric makes it particularly useful in policy formulation.Emissions of greenhouse gases lead to an increase in their atmospheric concentrations and radiative forcing, which in turn perturbs many aspects of climate including global atmospheric and oceanic temperatures, precipitation, and sea level. The changing climate affects a diverse array...
| Authors: | Ramón A. Alvarez; Stephen W. Pacala; James J. Winebrake; William L. Chameides; Steven P. Hamburg | |
| Journal: | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences current issue | |
| Volume: | 109 | |
| Issue: | 27 | |
| Year: | 2012 | |
| Pages: | E1814 | |
| DOI: | 10.1073/pnas.1206927109 | |
| Publication date: | 03-07-2012 |
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Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza [Applied Mathematics]
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